The new Dodge Momentum Index (DMI) for the month of October has shown a decrease of 5.3% to a new score of 197.2. This is down from September’s revised reading of 208.2. Over the month, commercial planning fell 6.7%, and institutional planning declined 2.0%.  

The declines were reflected in most commercial planning categories with hotels serving as the sole outlier. Education and public planning activity expanded the institutional side, which was offset slightly by weaker activity in healthcare, recreational, and religious projects. Overall, the DMI was 13% higher than in October of 2023. 

"In addition to data center planning normalizing, a moderate pullback in the number of planning projects for several other nonresidential sectors also contributed to the decline in the Dodge Momentum Index for October," Sarah Martin, the associate director of forecasting at Dodge Construction Network, said. "Regardless, owners and developers remain confident in next year’s market conditions, and the planning queue remains poised to spur stronger construction activity in 2025, following deeper rate cuts by the Fed."

The DCN also notes: "The influence of data centers on the DMI this year has been substantial. If we remove all data center projects from January to October, commercial planning would be down 4% from year-ago levels, and the entire DMI would be down 2%."

The largest projects to enter planning for the month were a $450 million data center in Houston, Texas, followed by a $410 million hotel outside of Dallas. The largest institutional project was the new $300 million Kellogg School Building at Northwestern University from KPF.