An influential group of scientists led by James Hansen, the former NASA scientist often credited with having drawn the first major attention to climate change in 1988 congressional testimony, has published a dire climate study that suggests the impact of global warming will be quicker and more catastrophic than generally envisioned. — the Washington Post
James Hansen, an indisputably important climate scientist and activist, alongside a group of other influential experts, has released a new, 52-page paper that revises much of mainstream expectations for global warming. Hansen has called it the most important work he's done.
A synthesis of paleoclimatology, climate models, and modern observations, the document suggests that global warming will have a more violent and catastrophic impact than previously expected.
The scientists involved believe that Greenland and Antarctica could experience ice melt at much faster rates than imagined (up to several meters in a century), and that the melt could create a feedback loop further intensifying the effects of global warming.
In short, the cold, fresh water from the melted ice sheets would trap a layer of warm seawater beneath it, leading to a process known as "stratification." Such "blobs" of cold water – which could perhaps already be forming off the coast of Greenland (see image above) – would mean that the warm water could reach the base of ice sheets and melt them from below, causing more stratification and melting.
Subsequently, the stratification could cause a slowdown – or even shutdown – of the overturning circulation in the North Atlantic and in the Southern Ocean.
All this could lead to cooling in the North Atlantic even as the equatorial regions continue to grow warmer. The temperature difference would in turn create more intense storms in the mid-latitudes.
Here's where some of that paleoclimatology gets involved, as archaeological evidence suggests historical periods with similar warming patterns brought storms so intense that they were capable of hurling massive boulders on to shore. BIG's designs for a deployable wall beneath FDR Drive might need to be fortified...
The paper isn't uncontroversial – although it's also far from fringe science. You can check it out in its entirety here.
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1 Comment
space exploration is the backup plan - once we fuck this planet up beyond repair, we can send keanu reeves and brittney spears to mars to start a new super race.
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