Seen on Building Design today (bdonline.co.uk). In case somebody is thinking about moving to the UK, it seems pretty scary.
Numbers in employment will drop a further 6% before market starts to recover in 2012
Hopes of an early recovery in the construction industry have been hit by a new report which predicts that the numbers of architects in employment will fall both this year and next.
According to the report, produced by the Construction Industry Council (CIC) in association with Construction Skills, the number of architects and architectural technologists in work will fall 5% this year to just under 42,000.
The report, The Impact of the recession on Construction Professional Services, estimated that 2011 would see a further fall of 1.3% to 41,418 and said part IIs would be left particularly exposed due to an “oversupply” of architects.
The report included a survey of more than 300 construction firms of all disciplines which revealed that 85% of the architectural practices felt the supply of graduates exceeded demand.
Architect Mark Way, director of skills at CIC, said he was particularly concerned for the newly qualified and those with a second degree.
“People will hang on and do what they can but they’ll get to a point where they’ll have to do something else,” he said. “It’s deeply unfortunate that people are coming out of education to face perhaps the worst recession since the second world war. Universities are businesses and their role is not just to educate people but to attract them.”
Fellow report author James Hastings, head of construction futures at research group Experian, said: “The professional institutions and education providers really need to get together and work out how to deal with this situation... the problem you’ve got is that there is this long gestation period [for architects].”
But former RIBA president Sunand Prasad said it was virtually impossible to predict demand.
“There is no underplaying the human impact of this,” he said. “But I don’t think it’s feasible for institutions and universities to get together and set quotas because I don’t think you could ever get the numbers right.”
He added that architectural education did equip people to work in other fields but said courses could be improved to give individuals the best mix of skills.
The report said that the number of architects and architectural technologists in work had plummeted 19% from 54,426 in 2007 to just over 44,000 by the end of 2009.
One reason for this, the report added, was that architecture appeared earlier in the construction process meaning other professions, such as mechanical and electrical engineers, had not yet been hit as badly.
The report predicted employment numbers would only start to rise in 2012, and then by just 1%.
Russia is Arch addicted. Not that you can find very many links to it in English... but there's about 17,000 architects (11,000 registered) in all of Russia out of a population of 140,000,000 people.
However, if news is true... Russian has one of the largest architecture markets in the world right now. (And the insurance, licensing and liability issues are a breeze.)
So, there's not much for local competition! Just have to know the Russian if you want to start building sweet noveau riche palaces and massive corporate buildings.
Союз архитекторов России (Russian Union of Architects)
---
"
The economy may expand an annual 8.3 percent in the second quarter, more than previously forecast, on domestic demand and aluminum prices, Renaissance Capital said Monday.
The investment bank raised its estimate from 7.9 percent after higher wages, improved retail services and a decline in unemployment, as well as higher aluminum prices and a larger trade surplus, fueled growth, it said in an e-mailed statement. The economy probably grew 7.5 percent in the first quarter, according to RenCap.
“The biggest contributors to the brighter outlook were factors suggesting that domestic demand is finally rebounding,” Alexei Moiseyev, RenCap’s senior economist, wrote in the statement. “These factors raise tentative hopes that the economic recovery in Russia may be based on more than just the export of expensive commodities.”
The economy may expand as much as 4.5 percent this year, according to Deputy Economic Development Minister Andrei Klepach. Consumer confidence rose in the first quarter after the unemployment rate fell in February for the first time in four months, reaching 8.6 percent. The average monthly wage gained an annual 2.9 percent in the month when the effects of inflation are stripped out, boosting retail sales. Russian service industries from banks to supermarkets expanded in March at the fastest pace since October, signaling “renewed momentum,” VTB Capital’s Purchasing Managers’ Index showed. "
Russia Construction Market Data & Forecast to 2013
World Market Intelligence, Sep 2009, Pages: 23
If you can find a copy of it, it is a good real.
The basic summer is the Russia has been enjoying double-digit growth in the AEC industry fueled by the expansion and domination of many petro and metal markets (gas, oil, gasoline, aluminum).
Russia expects another $100 billion to be spent on construction over the next 3-4 years.
Architecture jobs set for further falls, says report
Seen on Building Design today (bdonline.co.uk). In case somebody is thinking about moving to the UK, it seems pretty scary.
Numbers in employment will drop a further 6% before market starts to recover in 2012
Hopes of an early recovery in the construction industry have been hit by a new report which predicts that the numbers of architects in employment will fall both this year and next.
According to the report, produced by the Construction Industry Council (CIC) in association with Construction Skills, the number of architects and architectural technologists in work will fall 5% this year to just under 42,000.
The report, The Impact of the recession on Construction Professional Services, estimated that 2011 would see a further fall of 1.3% to 41,418 and said part IIs would be left particularly exposed due to an “oversupply” of architects.
The report included a survey of more than 300 construction firms of all disciplines which revealed that 85% of the architectural practices felt the supply of graduates exceeded demand.
Architect Mark Way, director of skills at CIC, said he was particularly concerned for the newly qualified and those with a second degree.
“People will hang on and do what they can but they’ll get to a point where they’ll have to do something else,” he said. “It’s deeply unfortunate that people are coming out of education to face perhaps the worst recession since the second world war. Universities are businesses and their role is not just to educate people but to attract them.”
Fellow report author James Hastings, head of construction futures at research group Experian, said: “The professional institutions and education providers really need to get together and work out how to deal with this situation... the problem you’ve got is that there is this long gestation period [for architects].”
But former RIBA president Sunand Prasad said it was virtually impossible to predict demand.
“There is no underplaying the human impact of this,” he said. “But I don’t think it’s feasible for institutions and universities to get together and set quotas because I don’t think you could ever get the numbers right.”
He added that architectural education did equip people to work in other fields but said courses could be improved to give individuals the best mix of skills.
The report said that the number of architects and architectural technologists in work had plummeted 19% from 54,426 in 2007 to just over 44,000 by the end of 2009.
One reason for this, the report added, was that architecture appeared earlier in the construction process meaning other professions, such as mechanical and electrical engineers, had not yet been hit as badly.
The report predicted employment numbers would only start to rise in 2012, and then by just 1%.
Oh just what I was looking for today. Some good news!
Wow,
There are only about 105,000 architects in America, a country of 300,000,000 but 55,000 architects for Britain, a country of 61,000,000
That is 1/5th the population difference.
I can't tell which one scares me more or the reasons why.
On the fence... take a look at this...
http://blog.miragestudio7.com/wp-content/uploads/2007/07/architects_europe_pre_thousand_people.gif
Italy has 60m people... what makes 104,000 architects according to the link.
Russia is Arch addicted. Not that you can find very many links to it in English... but there's about 17,000 architects (11,000 registered) in all of Russia out of a population of 140,000,000 people.
However, if news is true... Russian has one of the largest architecture markets in the world right now. (And the insurance, licensing and liability issues are a breeze.)
So, there's not much for local competition! Just have to know the Russian if you want to start building sweet noveau riche palaces and massive corporate buildings.
Hawkin,
That chart now explains Greeces economic problems.
Greece's economic problems can easily be summed up by a few words:
The 2004 Olympic Games have nearly destroyed Greece's economy
(The cost of the Athens Games was around 850,000 dollars per Greek resident.
After business and trickle down effects, the average Greek was left with about $55,000 dollars of debt in paying for the Olympics.)
Unicorn,
may I ask where information about Russia is coming from and if it is recent?
Thanks.
Союз архитекторов России (Russian Union of Architects)
---
"
The economy may expand an annual 8.3 percent in the second quarter, more than previously forecast, on domestic demand and aluminum prices, Renaissance Capital said Monday.
The investment bank raised its estimate from 7.9 percent after higher wages, improved retail services and a decline in unemployment, as well as higher aluminum prices and a larger trade surplus, fueled growth, it said in an e-mailed statement. The economy probably grew 7.5 percent in the first quarter, according to RenCap.
“The biggest contributors to the brighter outlook were factors suggesting that domestic demand is finally rebounding,” Alexei Moiseyev, RenCap’s senior economist, wrote in the statement. “These factors raise tentative hopes that the economic recovery in Russia may be based on more than just the export of expensive commodities.”
The economy may expand as much as 4.5 percent this year, according to Deputy Economic Development Minister Andrei Klepach. Consumer confidence rose in the first quarter after the unemployment rate fell in February for the first time in four months, reaching 8.6 percent. The average monthly wage gained an annual 2.9 percent in the month when the effects of inflation are stripped out, boosting retail sales. Russian service industries from banks to supermarkets expanded in March at the fastest pace since October, signaling “renewed momentum,” VTB Capital’s Purchasing Managers’ Index showed. "
http://www.themoscowtimes.com/business/article/economy-to-expand-beyond-expectations/403791.html
---
Russia Construction Market Data & Forecast to 2013
World Market Intelligence, Sep 2009, Pages: 23
If you can find a copy of it, it is a good real.
The basic summer is the Russia has been enjoying double-digit growth in the AEC industry fueled by the expansion and domination of many petro and metal markets (gas, oil, gasoline, aluminum).
Russia expects another $100 billion to be spent on construction over the next 3-4 years.
Thank you very much! I should start re-writing my resume in Russian!
http://rabota.mail.ru/vac_search/?go=1&query=&search_in=0&search_type=0&country=18767®ion=18768&city=18769&salary_from=&salary_currency=1&spec_group=27&spec=372&exp=4&employer_type=0&schedule=0&publics=0&edu=0&order_type=0&vac_on_page=2
The salary is ranging from $1,200 to $ 2,700 per month in Moscow, where median living expenses of the middle class is $ 2,000 per month.
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