The data contained in the latest Architecture Billings Index (ABI) from the American Institute of Architects (AIA) shows a "considerable" decrease in the demand for design services across the industry in a sign that points to the arrival of a long-dreaded turndown for firms heading into the new year.
The ABI score for October was 47.7, down from September's 51.7 total and representing the first time since January of 2021 that the index has fallen below the threshold of 50 (which indicates a decline). The overall value of design contracts also dropped to a score of 48.6, with an increase in new project inquiries recorded at a score of 52.3.
“Economic headwinds have been steadily mounting, and finally led to weakening demand for new projects,” the AIA Chief Economist, Kermit Baker, said, touching briefly on the industry's growing fear. “Firm backlogs are healthy and will hopefully provide healthy levels of design activity against fewer new projects entering the pipeline should this weakness persist.”
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And so it begins...
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