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Merely Convenient?? Gore Antidote (non-shrill)

toroid

ok - this will take you some time to watch - i watched and listened to it while hand-sketching over some condo plans and the time didn't seem too bad.

i promise promise that it is not merely shrill hype, but actually contains real scientists and real scientific theories that seem to make a pretty convincing chain of arguments against wide-scale, MAN-MADE global climate change theories such as those propounded in Al Gore's Inconvenient Truth.

One of the most frustrating things for me about the whole Global Climate change is the overwhelming sense of futility about the whole thing. I mean, if Global Climate Change IS man-made, what in the hell are we going to do about it in time, if anything??

though this won't make you feel any better, at least, it didn't make ME feel any better, the arguments do pose some thought-provoking questions and i'd love to see what you all can come up with after giving it a fair chance.

rather than fret over the large scale issues, my only way to remain sane has been to change the way I live and consume, and to try to make a difference in the "thousand little ways"...

enjoy!

http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=4499562022478442170&q=The+Great+Global+Warming+Swindle%E2%80%9D

 
Apr 17, 07 1:57 am
whatthefuk

Global Warming is COMPLETELY are fault. There is this compound I can't remember for the love of me what it is called. But we were putting it in EVERYTHING it was like the perfect compound, it did not react with anything. Its in pressurised hair spray, anti freeze, in our fridges ( don't remember what in our fridges ), its everywhere really. And when it gets to the o-zone layer it messes with the oxygen atoms, I don't remember if it gives off an atom to the ogygen atoms or takes them. Either way its those O2 in our o-zone that protect us from UV rays, and this compound is fucking it all up especially at the poles because thats were all the atoms go, they com from the middle and go to the top, back in to the earth, out the middle to the top and so on.

Or atleast thats what they are teaching me in school.

Apr 17, 07 2:25 am  · 
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whatthefuk

oh, and hopfully I'm not just repeating whats in the movie lol, I havn't watched it cuz it will destract me even more from my socials hw!

Apr 17, 07 2:26 am  · 
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mdler

I heard that global warming is Canada's fault

Apr 17, 07 2:36 am  · 
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whatthefuk

Pfft as if, Americans cause more polution then Canadians.

Did you know if the whole world was to live up to Americas living standards then we would need 3 earths?

So really by America trying to make more places "civilized" they are just killing us all.

Apr 17, 07 2:53 am  · 
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mdler

'Did you know if the whole world was to live up to Americas living standards then we would need 3 earths?'

-obviously a figure written by a Canadian

Apr 17, 07 2:57 am  · 
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bowling_ball

I wish I had the energy to respond.

Apr 17, 07 2:58 am  · 
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whatthefuk

Umm give me about an hour tell I'm done my social work and I'll go threw my notes and tell you who said it =P

Apr 17, 07 2:59 am  · 
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a-f

wtf, you're talking about freon or CFC which following the Montreal Protocol has been replaced by other compounds. The threat of ozone layer depletion has since then been reduced, and does not really influence global warming.

Apr 17, 07 3:34 am  · 
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whatthefuk

yah thats what it is, I was think C2C and I was like no, thats not right.

I should have a talk with my teacher about how old the movies hes showing us our. Thats a fucking old treaty. Well old to a 17 year old =P

Apr 17, 07 3:38 am  · 
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whatthefuk

mdler, your right, it was canadians lol 2 professors from UBC.

Apr 17, 07 4:21 am  · 
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xtbl

yeah, that whole ozone layer thing is so 80's! get with the times dude!!!

Apr 17, 07 4:24 am  · 
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antipod

That trip has already been put in it's place.

http://environment.guardian.co.uk/climatechange/story/0,,2032572,00.html

There are other articles out there if you look. Channel 4 decided not to re-screen the 'documentary' after a number of journalists did some digging into it's claims.

Nice try.

Apr 17, 07 8:28 am  · 
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antipod

trip=tripe. fat fingers.

Apr 17, 07 8:29 am  · 
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thanks, antipod. worth quoting complete:

"Were it not for dissent, science, like politics, would have stayed in the dark ages. All the great heroes of the discipline - Galileo, Newton, Darwin, Einstein - took tremendous risks in confronting mainstream opinion. Today's crank has often proved to be tomorrow's visionary.

"But the syllogism does not apply. Being a crank does not automatically make you a visionary. There is little prospect, for example, that Dr Mantombazana Tshabalala-Msimang, the South African health minister who has claimed Aids can be treated with garlic, lemon and beetroot, will be hailed as a genius. But the point is often confused. Professor David Bellamy, for example, while making the incorrect claim that wind farms do not have "any measurable effect" on total emissions of carbon dioxide, has compared himself to Galileo.

"The problem with The Great Global Warming Swindle, which caused a sensation when it was broadcast on Channel 4 last week, is that to make its case it relies not on future visionaries, but on people whose findings have already been proved wrong. The implications could not be graver. Just as the government launches its climate change bill and Gordon Brown and David Cameron start jostling to establish their green credentials, thousands have been misled into believing there is no problem to address.
The film's main contention is that the current increase in global temperatures is caused not by rising greenhouse gases, but by changes in the activity of the sun. It is built around the discovery in 1991 by the Danish atmospheric physicist Dr Eigil Friis-Christensen that recent temperature variations on Earth are in "strikingly good agreement" with the length of the cycle of sunspots.

"Unfortunately, he found nothing of the kind. A paper published in the journal Eos in 2004 reveals that the "agreement" was the result of "incorrect handling of the physical data". The real data for recent years show the opposite: that the length of the sunspot cycle has declined, while temperatures have risen. When this error was exposed, Friis-Christensen and his co-author published a new paper, purporting to produce similar results. But this too turned out to be an artefact of mistakes - in this case in their arithmetic.

"So Friis-Christensen and another author developed yet another means of demonstrating that the sun is responsible, claiming to have discovered a remarkable agreement between cosmic radiation influenced by the sun and global cloud cover. This is the mechanism the film proposes for global warming. But, yet again, the method was exposed as faulty. They had been using satellite data which did not in fact measure global cloud cover. A paper in the Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics shows that, when the right data are used, a correlation is not found.

"So the hypothesis changed again. Without acknowledging that his previous paper was wrong, Friis-Christensen's co-author, Henrik Svensmark, declared there was a correlation - not with total cloud cover but with "low cloud cover". This, too, turned out to be incorrect. Then, last year, Svensmark published a paper purporting to show cosmic rays could form tiny particles in the atmosphere. Accompanying the paper was a press release which went way beyond the findings reported in the paper, claiming it showed that both past and current climate events are the result of cosmic rays.

"As Dr Gavin Schmidt of Nasa has shown on www.realclimate.org, five missing steps would have to be taken to justify the wild claims in the press release. "We've often criticised press releases that we felt gave misleading impressions of the underlying work," Schmidt says, "but this example is by far the most blatant extrapolation beyond reasonableness that we have seen." None of this seems to have troubled the programme makers, who report the cosmic ray theory as if it trounces all competing explanations.

"The film also maintains that manmade global warming is disproved by conflicting temperature data. Professor John Christy speaks about the discrepancy he discovered between temperatures at the Earth's surface and temperatures in the troposphere (or lower atmosphere). But the programme fails to mention that in 2005 his data were proved wrong, by three papers in Science magazine.

"Christy himself admitted last year that he was mistaken. He was one of the authors of a paper which states the opposite of what he says in the film. "Previously reported discrepancies between the amount of warming near the surface and higher in the atmosphere have been used to challenge the reliability of climate models and the reality of human-induced global warming. Specifically, surface data showed substantial global-average warming, while early versions of satellite and radiosonde data showed little or no warming above the surface. This significant discrepancy no longer exists because errors in the satellite and radiosonde data have been identified and corrected."

"Until recently, when found to be wrong, scientists went back to their labs to start again. Now, emboldened by the denial industry, some of them, like the film-makers, shriek "censorship!". This is the best example of manufactured victimhood I have come across. If you demonstrate someone is wrong, you are now deemed to be silencing him.

"But there is one scientist in the film whose work has not been debunked: the oceanographer Carl Wunsch. He appears to support the idea that increasing carbon dioxide is not responsible for rising global temperatures. Wunsch says he was "completely misrepresented" by the programme, and "totally misled" by the people who made it.

"This is a familiar story to those who have followed the career of the director Martin Durkin. In 1998, the Independent Television Commission found that, when making a similar series, he had "misled" his interviewees about "the content and purpose of the programmes". Their views had been "distorted through selective editing". Channel 4 had to make a prime-time apology.

"Cherry-pick your results, choose work which is already discredited, and anything and everything becomes true. The twin towers were brought down by controlled explosions; MMR injections cause autism; homeopathy works; black people are less intelligent than white people; species came about through intelligent design. You can find lines of evidence which appear to support all these contentions, and, in most cases, professors who will speak up in their favour. But this does not mean that any of them are correct. You can sustain a belief in these propositions only by ignoring the overwhelming body of contradictory data. To form a balanced, scientific view, you have to consider all the evidence, on both sides of the question.

"But for the film's commissioners, all that counts is the sensation. Channel 4 has always had a problem with science. No one in its science unit appears to understand the difference between a peer-reviewed paper and a clipping from the Daily Mail. It keeps commissioning people whose claims have been discredited - such as Durkin. But its failure to understand the scientific process just makes the job of whipping up a storm that much easier. The less true a programme is, the greater the controversy."


Apr 17, 07 8:53 am  · 
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THEaquino

We should spread the seed of democracy to the environment.

Apr 17, 07 9:13 am  · 
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yes, thanks antipod.

i'd done a google search to find a retort to the show, but hadn't found that one. cool to read.

I didn't mind the questionable science so much, as i find gore's approach to be slightly similar (inevitable if you want to make a point, i suppose) and i thought they were both relatively obvious in their leanings and their use of hyperperbole; though i have to admit i was left curious as to how much of the swindle show was correct (much less than i believed, i am embarassed to say; i thought at least one of the claims might be true).

more than the bad science though, i really hated the conspiracy theory stuff at the end. kind of a bad copy of adam curtis' work (whom i always enjoy) and it really made the whole thing sound dumb...which is a pity cuz i am still not entirely convinced that gore's version is altogether correct...

btw, if anyone is interested there was a documentary last year (i think) called "dimming the sun", which points out the possibility that pollution is damping the effect of global warming, and that as air pollution is reduced we will face even more severe climate issues...which is scary. sorta the opposite of the global swindle, but worth a watch if you can find it. it is to me particularly interesting because the science was in some ways supressed or maligned by global warming scientists at the beginning because they felt it might be contrary to their ideas...

Apr 17, 07 10:19 am  · 
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alfrejas24

"Were it not for dissent, science, like politics, would have stayed in the dark ages. All the great heroes of the discipline - Galileo, Newton, Darwin, Einstein - took tremendous risks in confronting mainstream opinion. Today's crank has often proved to be tomorrow's visionary.

????

I'm a little confused. Everyone I meet is a global warming fearing enviromentalist. So that makes them the majority right? Does that mean the "crank" who says global warming isn't real, tomorrow visionary?


Apr 17, 07 10:29 am  · 
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toroid

thanks for the Monbiot, Steven - any of you don't know George Monbiot should bookmark his blog

http://www.monbiot.com/

he's relentless and has the street cred to back up every word.

Steven, in addition to the text you published, the original Monbiot is worth having around if you run up against nay-sayers because GM cites EVERY POINT in that article - there is a complete bibliography for each retraction and false, "mishandled" data in the film.

i also found this point-by-point response that is fairly devastating...

http://portal.campaigncc.org/node/1843

Apr 17, 07 10:30 am  · 
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toroid

alfrejas - why don't you satisfy yourself by reading primary resource material. all of it. it's much more fulfilling than being confused about the "debate" although it MAY mean that you have to change the way you live.

that's the real reason people keep arguing.

Apr 17, 07 10:31 am  · 
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alfrejas-

next paragraph: "But the syllogism does not apply. Being a crank does not automatically make you a visionary. There is little prospect, for example, that Dr Mantombazana Tshabalala-Msimang, the South African health minister who has claimed Aids can be treated with garlic, lemon and beetroot, will be hailed as a genius. But the point is often confused. Professor David Bellamy, for example, while making the incorrect claim that wind farms do not have "any measurable effect" on total emissions of carbon dioxide, has compared himself to Galileo.

Apr 17, 07 10:43 am  · 
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alfrejas24,

i am in a multi-disciplinary science faculty created a few years ago specifically to study environmental issues (especially global warming), and even here there is no consensus on the ultimate veracity and meaning of humanity's contribution to global warming...especially, i think, amongst the foreign students, who seem to be somehow more cynical, at least amongst the architects...

back home on the canadian prairie most of my family sorta just shrugs it off and are waiting for the miracle fix that bush and Harper (a canadian dude) seem to promise...

so, no, i would say the acceptance of global warming as a man-made deal is not quite a majority opinion yet....hell my mum thinks global warming is pretty much just about hurricane katrina and a mild winter or two...the implications are lost on her nearly completely. she ain't stupid, just not well informed. an gore's show didn't quite set her straight somehow...maybe his show is too short...i dunno.


anyway, i think that intro is a bit salascious. science is always contentious (and political!) and simply being for or against the currently accepted opinion is beside the point. it has zero to do with being correct or incorrect...

Apr 17, 07 10:50 am  · 
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brickhouse

i just wish the argument would be framed appropriately. the simple question is (and i think this is what toroid is getting at) :

how are you, personally, affecting the environment around you? if you can look in the mirrror and answer that question positively then you are deceiving yourself.

now multiply that by 5 billion.

so excuse me while a scarf down my egg mcmuffin, throw away my styrofoam container and jet off to a meeting in my ford explorer.

Apr 17, 07 11:28 am  · 
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