where is the folio link?

Truly the only thing that matters is your portfolio. GPA is close enough. 

Nobody cares what your gender or ethnicity is, though I guess it is a factor in admissions to some schools.

Every school will be what you make of it. Plenty of terrible architects and designers coming out of ivy league schools, plenty of great ones coming from other places. 

That said, Columbia, MIT, UMich would be my top three picks from those schools based on the people i've worked with in my career.

If you want an honest critique of your chances, you have to let people see your portfolio some how. If you really want a good assessment of the application situation, I suggest you read through this thread: https://archinect.com/forum/thread/150172340/m-arch-fall-2020-application-status

Many shared their work and experience online, which are valuable resources. 

Your odds are not zero but not 100%. You're not going to get a more accurate estimate without posting some designs.

It's far, far too long.  Different schools have different page limits (and some have none), but these are mostly in the 12 to 30 page range.  Your portfolio shows an inability to edit your work.  You have a few very nice images and projects, but they're buried among piles of uninteresting material and about 1000% too much text.  Everything has a sameness to it that makes it unappealing and tedious to wade through it all.

First scrap the first page with the blurb about what your portfolio is about.  That reads as a bunch of pretentious bs that will make some reviewers stop right there.  Then get rid of the Table of Contents.  Then pick 3 to 4 good projects and get rid of all the others.  Now edit those good projects down to no more than 3 to 5 images each, and two sentences of text each.

Then come back and post it again.  Right now I'd give it a C minus.

As for the rest of your stats:  your scores and GPA are fine.  Nobody really cares about the competitions you've won.  At least two thirds of applicants have those sorts of things on their resume - list it but don't expect it to impress anyone much.  Focus on your portfolio, statement of purpose, and make sure you've got three excellent recommendation letters from people who really know you and can write knowledgeably about your unique qualifications.

It's about 70 pages too long.

some nice images but everything is lost because of the bulk.  No sexy sketches for the projects with CAD drawings?  What happened there?

Also, that thread section can be reduced to a 2-page spread.

Before showing ur portfolio with all ur babbling about people copying ur work and stuff, I was expecting nothing less than a Distinction student's work from Bartlett School of Architecture. But after showing - it look just... Bland...? Not only that, ur plans looks "lazy". No offence. It also look more like a Product Design / Industrial Design portfolio than architecture. 

I found it a little boring.  Nothing really caught my eye, or pooped out at me.  Just black and white pages.  

As others above have pointed out, the main problem now is length. You have plenty of material - identify the best half-dozen (or less) that showcase different processes through arresting graphics and thoughtful designs. Schools are interested in what unique qualities you can bring to the student body and if you have the ability to perform to the standards required. Succesfully editing your portfolio to craft a personal tale is thus critical - especially when you wouldn't have too much time to impress in Round 1 of portfolio reviews.

Ultimately the schools are looking for potential - thus the eclectic background of M.Arch I students from economics to sculpture and music. I think you have as good a chance as any other applicant with a background in architecture. Now you just have to tell a compelling story through your designs, words, and references.

Your drawings are lacking in annotation and perhaps that's why you have far less of those than axons, diagrams, and renders - all of which have potential. Add some color to make your images 'pop' and showcase a sense of style. Black and white images are OK if polished like Instagram favorite archekk but your take on it has a rough, hand-drawn quality that works better when used sparingly.

i will say as someone who went ivy, i was surprised they let me in (& others) ...lol

but the education & (most of) your fellow students are quite good

as my dad said to me: "don't stress about it...you only need to get into one school"

kinda want to see more physical models for architecture projects

I think your work is good, and you have a great chance, but the portfolio is a bit too exhaustive. You don't need to show every drawing for each project, instead, just include the best work that brings across the concept and the design in 2-3 spreads, as only a few minutes will be spent looking at it. I took this approach with my portfolio and it really paid off for me this year :) 

Also, I agree that you could make the layout and your plans a bit more exciting, they are quite sterile. Don't listen to anyone discouraging you on here - I did my portfolio in a month, and if you have this much time left, you'll do great!

I'll take a stab at it.

A general comment :your hand work in the first project is evocative and engaging. Its a shame that those qualities don't carry over into your digital drawings (plans and elevations). They're too flat and dry.

1) I would take out the Diluvian project. The resulting site plan is banal and I didn't grasp its connection to your research as a solution.

2) I didn't see any section drawings. This makes me question your understanding of three-dimensional space and experience. Definitely consider putting at least one in there. Bonus points for putting some heart into the graphics (see the end of comment 1).

3) For the text, I think the length of the intro paragraphs are okay. Everything else should be simplified to a single caption at most. The only purpose that these captions should have is to help the reader understand the importance of what they're looking at. It shouldn't take someone more than five seconds to understand your spread.

4) I agree with others that its too long. Consider the format 'restrictions, response, and resolution', and give one page to each. I find that this format is simpler than trying to communicate each step of your journey.

Good luck!

Thanks for sharing your work. Make sure each spread packs a punch, and keeps the interest high. Multiple spreads of line drawings, renderings, or diagrams consecutively  do not achieve this effect. That said even in this "unabridged" state, the portfolio has a cohesive aesthetic and vibe. You did a good job compiling the work from various studios into a "whole." Whether people on this forum like it or not doesn't matter. It's a record of a particular time in your education and it will get you to the next step for certain.

As to that step... my guess is that you could probably get into both Columbia and Michigan. Maybe UPenn too, and I'm not too familiar with Cornell's program. The others might be a long shot (a shot worth taking of course!). Its crucial that you apply to schools that you're inspired by and with which your work resonates. These schools know they're "the best," so make sure you bring value to the pedagogy they are trying to build. Craft your application to the faculty within each program you'd like to learn from and work with. Be specific.